Sport Picks
Match Events
58'
58'
79'
79'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
- Al Ahli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%
Al Reef Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli | Al Reef |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 44 | 13 |
| Wins | 20 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 2.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Reef
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahli 95 / 100
Al Reef 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahli Al Reef
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Reef has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.
Al Ahli found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (44 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Al Ahli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahli VS Al Reef
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2 Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1 Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1 Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2 Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Hidd
Page 1 of 9
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2 Al Ittifaq
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Hidd
29 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 3 Al Riffa
04 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 0 Malkia
07 Mar
Al Ahli
3 : 2 Al Ittifaq
Page 1 of 5
Al Reef
(Away) 12 Jan
Isa Town
3 : 2 Al Reef
02 Feb
Al Reef
1 : 6 Al Khalidiyah
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1 Al Reef
24 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 5 Manama Club
17 Jan
Al Hidd
4 : 0 Al Reef
Page 1 of 3
12 Jan
Isa Town
3 : 2 Al Reef
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1 Al Reef
17 Jan
Al Hidd
4 : 0 Al Reef
17 Nov
Ali CSC
2 : 0 Al Reef
11 Jan
Al Ahli
1 : 1 Al Reef
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hidd | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Riffa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 3 | Ali CSC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Isa Town | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Budaiya | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manama Club | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Ahli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Busaiteen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Reef | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 5 | Al Najma | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ittifaq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Khalidiyah | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Shabbab | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Hala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Umm Al Hassam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Qalali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Malkia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahrain SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Bouri | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | East Riffa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Muharraq | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 5 | Sitra | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Tadamun Buri | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
