Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahli vs Al Sareeh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Al Eikish M.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Al Saud I.
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Al Ahli
35%
Draws
30%
Al Sareeh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli lately — more wins on the board than Al Sareeh.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Sareeh Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Sareeh
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 15 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2025 Jordan Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Sareeh
1:0
May 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Sareeh
3:3
Dec 5, 2024 Premier League
Al Sareeh vs Al Ahli
1:1
Oct 11, 2024 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Sareeh
1:1
Dec 25, 2020 Premier League
Al Sareeh vs Al Ahli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Saud I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khader O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Al Sareeh Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Eikish M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Awad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 36 / 100
Al Sareeh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Sareeh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Al Sareeh conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Al Ahli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Sareeh
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
08 May
Al Wehdat
2 : 0
Al Ahli
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al Faisaly Amman
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hussein
Page 1 of 8

Al Sareeh

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Al Sareeh
19 Oct
Al Sareeh
1 : 0
Doqarah
02 May
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Al Sareeh
25 Apr
Al Sareeh
0 : 0
Al Faisaly Amman
19 Apr
Al Salt
0 : 0
Al Sareeh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 22 16 5 1 53:15 53
2 Al Wehdat 22 16 4 2 47:18 52
3 Al Faisaly Amman 22 9 12 1 30:16 39
4 Al Ramtha 22 9 6 7 26:23 33
5 Al Salt 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
6 Al Jazeera Amman 22 8 6 8 33:29 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 5 10 24:32 26
8 Shabab Al Ordon 22 7 4 11 28:33 25
9 Al Sareeh 22 4 9 9 26:33 21
10 Aqaba 22 5 5 12 23:47 20
11 Maan 22 5 3 14 20:39 18
12 Moghayer Al Sarhan 22 3 4 15 16:44 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Qualification)