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Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli host Al Shahaniya in the QSL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Al Shahaniya have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Al Ahli have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.56. Past meetings favor Al Ahli slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.56 - 2.06) back Al Ahli to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Ahli
30%
Draws
41%
Al Shahaniya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shahaniya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Shahaniya have won more games recently than Al Ahli.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahli's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%
Al Shahaniya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Shahaniya
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
1:2
May 13, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 34 / 100
Al Shahaniya 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Shahaniya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Al Shahaniya conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Shahaniya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
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Al Shahaniya

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al Shahaniya
29 Aug
Al Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)