Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
63'
63'
90'
90'
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ahli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Al-Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Al-Ahli's way, sitting at 90%.
- Al-Ahli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Busaiteen, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 68%
Busaiteen Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Ahli | Busaiteen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2024 Premier League
Busaiteen vs Al-Ahli
0:2
Jan 25, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ahli vs Busaiteen
0:3
Dec 31, 2023 King's Cup
Busaiteen vs Al-Ahli
0:1
Oct 30, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Busaiteen
2:2
Nov 13, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Busaiteen vs Al-Ahli
1:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Ahli 95 / 100
Busaiteen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Ahli Busaiteen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Busaiteen let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Busaiteen registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Al-Ahli scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al-Ahli VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Ahli
(Home) 12 Sept
Al-Ahli
0 : 2 Al-Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al-Hidd
0 : 1 Al-Ahli
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1 Al-Ahli
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2 Al-Ahli
11 May
Al-Ahli
0 : 1 Al-Hidd
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Al-Ahli
0 : 2 Al-Ittifaq
11 May
Al-Ahli
0 : 1 Al-Hidd
29 Apr
Al-Ahli
2 : 3 Al Riffa
04 Apr
Al-Ahli
0 : 0 Malkia
07 Mar
Al-Ahli
3 : 2 Al-Ittifaq
Page 1 of 4
Busaiteen
(Away) 24 Jan
Busaiteen
0 : 4 Bahrain SC
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2 Busaiteen
15 May
Busaiteen
1 : 3 Al Riffa
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1 Busaiteen
04 May
Busaiteen
2 : 3 Al-Najma
Page 1 of 6
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2 Busaiteen
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1 Busaiteen
28 Apr
Manama Club
2 : 1 Busaiteen
07 Apr
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0 Busaiteen
03 Mar
East Riffa
1 : 3 Busaiteen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Shabbab | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Khalidiyah | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:4 | 11 |
| 3 | East Riffa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Umm Al Hassam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:14 | 6 |
| 5 | Tadamun Buri | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 6 | Al-Ittifaq | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manama Club | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Al-Hidd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Bouri | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Ali CSC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Al-Hala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Al Reef | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Riffa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 11 |
| 2 | Malkia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Budaiya | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Al-Najma | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Sitra | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | 0 |
| 6 | Al-Ittihad | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Muharraq | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Busaiteen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Ahli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Isa Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 5 | Bahrain SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 6 | Qalali | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)
