Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahli vs El Alia

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup 2023/2024
Al Ahli Logo

Al Ahli

2 - 0
FT
El Alia Logo

El Alia

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Al Ramhi M.
44' Event
Sidi E. B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli in this Jordan Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al Ahli
15%
Draws
0%
El Alia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • El Alia haven't matched Al Ahli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Ahli a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Al Ahli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahli, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%
El Alia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli El Alia
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 10 0
Draws 10 0
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.13 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2023 Jordan Cup
Al Ahli vs El Alia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ramhi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sidi E. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

El Alia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 59 / 100
El Alia 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli El Alia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Alia conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.

Al Ahli scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Al Ahli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
08 May
Al Wehdat
2 : 0
Al Ahli
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al-Faisaly Amman
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hussein
Page 1 of 7

El Alia

(Away)
27 Sept
Al Ahli
2 : 0
El Alia
29 Jul
Rabaa Serhan
1 : 0
El Alia
09 Aug
El Alia
1 : 2
Al Husn

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shabab Al Ordon -
TBD -
Der Abi Saeed -
Al Tora -
Al Sareeh -
TBD -
Kfarsoum 0
Al Taibah 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
El Alia -
Maan -
TBD -
TBD -
Ittihad Al Ramtha -
Al Ramtha -
TBD -
Wadi Al Rayyan 2
Rabaa Serhan 1
Sama Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Al Khaledeya 1
Umm Al Qotain 2
Moghayer Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Sama 1
Al Karmal 0
Al Wehdat -
TBD -
Ittihad Jerash 2
Saham 1
Al Hussein -
TBD -
TBD -
Amman -
Al Hashemeya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Yarmouk -
Al Jalil -
TBD -
Balama 1
Doqarah 4
Aqaba -
TBD -
Al Wehda 4
Shabab Hwarah 2
Al Salt -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) -
Al Jazeera Amman -
TBD -
Ghor Al-Safi 0
Marj Al Hamam 1
Sahab -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Buqaa -
Al-Faisaly Amman -
TBD -
Hartha 1
Al Husn 0
1/16-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 3
Der Abi Saeed 1
Al Sareeh 2
Al Taibah 0
Al Ahli 2
El Alia 0
Maan 2
Ittihad Al Ramtha 0
Al Ramtha 6
Wadi Al Rayyan 0
Sama Al Sarhan 1
Umm Al Qotain 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1
Sama 0
Al Wehdat 2
Ittihad Jerash 0
Al Hussein 2
Amman 1
Al Hashemeya 0
Al Yarmouk 1
Al Jalil 3
Doqarah 2
Aqaba 3
Al Wehda 0
Al Salt 2
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 1
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Marj Al Hamam 0
Sahab 1
Al Buqaa 0
Al-Faisaly Amman 8
Hartha 0
1/8-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 1
Al Sareeh 0
Al Ahli 0
Maan 1
Al Ramtha 4
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 4
Al Yarmouk 0
Al Jalil 0
Aqaba 1
Al Salt 2
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Sahab 1
Al-Faisaly Amman 0
Quarter-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 2
Maan 1
Al Ramtha 1
Al Wehdat 3
Al Hussein 4
Aqaba 1
Al Salt 2
Sahab 1
Semi-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 2
Al Salt 1
Final
Al Wehdat 2
Al Hussein 1