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Al Ahli vs Samaon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2023
Al Ahli Logo

Al Ahli

4 - 0
FT
Samaon Logo

Samaon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2023 game between Al Ahli and Samaon finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Ahli
30%
Draws
0%
Samaon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Samaon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Samaon
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.28 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2023 Division 1
Samaon vs Al Ahli
0:1
Nov 4, 2023 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Samaon
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 85 / 100
Samaon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Samaon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Samaon conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.

Al Ahli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Samaon has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
20 Aug
Al Baydaa
0 : 2
Al Ahli
12 Aug
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Al Ittihad
06 Aug
Al Ahli
0 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
24 Jul
Ittihad Hadramout
0 : 0
Al Ahli
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 6

Samaon

(Away)
31 Dec
Samaon
1 : 4
Al Oruba
27 Dec
Samaon
1 : 2
Tadamone Hadramout
23 Dec
Al Ittihad
1 : 0
Samaon
18 Dec
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Samaon
14 Dec
Samaon
0 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahli 10 8 1 1 21:2 25
2 Tadamone Hadramout 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
3 Al Oruba 10 3 4 3 13:10 13
4 Al Ittihad 10 3 2 5 8:12 11
5 Al Hilal 10 2 5 3 5:14 11
6 Samaon 10 1 1 8 6:19 4
7 Al Saqr 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 1 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 10 6 3 1 13:8 21
2 Al Shabab Hadramaut 10 5 3 2 16:10 18
3 Fhman 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
4 Salam 10 3 2 5 13:13 11
5 Al Rawda 10 3 2 5 7:17 11
6 Al Shaab Ibb 10 2 2 6 13:19 8
7 Taliat Taiz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 1 2023 (Play Offs)