Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Al Ahli host Shamal in the QSL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Al Ahli at 1.68 goals for, 1.93 against; Shamal at 1.79 for, 1.57 against. Head-to-head, Al Ahli have won 3 to Shamal's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Shamal. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Ahli haven't matched Shamal's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
- Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli | Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahli's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Shamal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Al Ahli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli
(Home)Shamal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 31:14 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Rayyan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:3 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Duhail | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Ahli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:15 | 11 |
| 6 | Al Wakra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | 11 |
| 7 | Lusail | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 9 |
| 9 | Shamal | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:17 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Shahaniya | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:28 | 1 |
