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Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Mourada

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al-Ahly Merowe
20%
Draws
38%
Al Mourada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ahly Merowe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ahly Merowe have won more games recently than Al Mourada.
  • Win probability leans Al-Ahly Merowe's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ahly Merowe Al Mourada
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 17 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2019 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Mourada
2:1
Feb 2, 2019 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Al-Ahly Merowe
2:1
Dec 12, 2018 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Mourada
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahly Merowe 42 / 100
Al Mourada 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ahly Merowe Al Mourada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mourada has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Al-Ahly Merowe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Al Mourada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ahly Merowe VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh1495034:1032
2Al-Khartoum1473421:1524
3Hilal El Obied1454520:1719
4Hay Al Wadi1447312:1619
5Al Mourada1454513:1919
6Alamal SC Atbara1452714:2217
7Ahli Khartoum1426613:1512
8Al-Ahly Merowe1415810:238
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman14101331:1031
2Ahli Shendi1484216:628
3Al Shorta1462618:1720
4Merreikh El-Fasher1445516:1517
5Hay al-Arab1444612:1716
6Al Hilal Kadougli1436513:1615
7Wad Hashim Sennar143657:1415
8Rabita Kosti141677:259