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Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Saham Ad Damer

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Ahly Merowe and Al Saham Ad Damer finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Ahly Merowe
40%
Draws
29%
Al Saham Ad Damer
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ahly Merowe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%
Al Saham Ad Damer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ahly Merowe Al Saham Ad Damer
Matches Played 27 10
Wins 4 2
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Saham Ad Damer vs Al-Ahly Merowe
0:0
Jan 19, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Saham Ad Damer
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahly Merowe 32 / 100
Al Saham Ad Damer 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ahly Merowe Al Saham Ad Damer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Saham Ad Damer has conceded goals in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Al-Ahly Merowe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Ahly Merowe's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ahly Merowe VS Al Saham Ad Damer
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010