Sport Picks
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Madina
Libya
Premier League 2025/2026 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahly Tripoli and Al Madina finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahly Tripoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Al Madina haven't matched Al Ahly Tripoli's recent run of results.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahly Tripoli taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahly Tripoli | Al Madina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 23 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.45 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:1
Feb 25, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Madina
4:0
Dec 25, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:0
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Madina
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
Al Madina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahly Tripoli Al Madina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahly Tripoli's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Al Ahly Tripoli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Al Madina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahly Tripoli VS Al Madina
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahly Tripoli
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0 KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1 Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0 KMKM
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1 Olympic Azzaweya
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0 Al Ittihad Misurata
23 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 2 Asswehly
Page 1 of 4
Al Madina
(Away) 24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3 Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2 Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3 Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
0 : 2 Al Madina
10 Mar
Al-Khmes
0 : 2 Al Madina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
