Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Mahalla Tripoli

Libya Libya

Premier League 2022/2023 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Al Ahly Tripoli and Al Mahalla Tripoli finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahly Tripoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ahly Tripoli
6%
Draws
4%
Al Mahalla Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahly Tripoli come out ahead of Al Mahalla Tripoli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Ahly Tripoli a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mahalla Tripoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Tripoli Al Mahalla Tripoli
Matches Played 47 31
Wins 37 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2023 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:1
Dec 2, 2022 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
3:1
Mar 24, 2022 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:3
Dec 26, 2021 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
0:0
Jun 3, 2021 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
Al Mahalla Tripoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Tripoli Al Mahalla Tripoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ahly Tripoli scored in 89% of their last 47 outings.

Al Ahly Tripoli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Mahalla Tripoli has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Tripoli VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly Tripoli

(Home)
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
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Al Mahalla Tripoli

(Away)
09 Jun
Al Mahalla Tripoli
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
02 Jun
Al Mahalla Tripoli
1 : 0
Asswehly
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
3 : 1
Al Mahalla Tripoli
19 May
Al Mahalla Tripoli
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
06 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Al Mahalla Tripoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Benghazi1889126:1633
2Al Nasr1879220:1530
3Al Hilal Benghazi1885523:1629
4Al Akhdar1875623:1926
5Darnes1876520:1724
6Al Taawun1859421:2124
7Al Sadaqa18411316:1823
8Al-Suqoor1848617:2220
9Al Tahaddi1828812:2014
10Shabaab Al Jabal18141310:244
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad18115218:635
2Al Ahly Tripoli1888224:1132
3Abu Salim1888216:832
4Olympic Azzaweya1867523:1725
5Asswehly1866619:1924
6Asaria18210616:2716
7Al-Khmes1846811:1815
8Al Madina18310515:1913
9Al Ittihad Misurata1829712:1612
10Al Mahalla Tripoli1819811:246
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)