Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Wehda

Libya Libya

Premier League 2020/2021 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahly Tripoli in this Premier League 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahly Tripoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Al Ahly Tripoli
20%
Draws
6%
Al Wehda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Al Wehda haven't matched Al Ahly Tripoli's recent run of results.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahly Tripoli taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Ahly Tripoli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Wehda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Tripoli Al Wehda
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 2.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.44 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2021 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Wehda
2:0
Apr 10, 2021 Premier League
Al Wehda vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:2
Apr 3, 2019 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Wehda
3:1
Apr 21, 2018 Premier League
Al Wehda vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:1
Nov 1, 2017 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Wehda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
Al Wehda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Tripoli Al Wehda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly Tripoli's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Al Ahly Tripoli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Wehda let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Tripoli VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly Tripoli

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
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Al Wehda

(Away)
27 Jul
Al Mahalla Tripoli
4 : 1
Al Wehda
22 Jul
Al Wehda
1 : 2
Rafeeq
19 Jul
Al Khmes
1 : 0
Al Wehda
14 Jul
Al Wehda
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
11 Jul
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0
Al Wehda
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 22 17 2 3 38:13 53
2 Al Akhdar 22 17 1 4 40:14 52
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 22 16 4 2 36:13 52
4 Al Nasr 22 15 4 3 31:13 49
5 Khaleej Sirte 22 10 5 7 22:19 35
6 Al Sadaqa 22 6 5 11 20:26 23
7 Al Tahaddi 22 6 4 12 14:21 22
8 Darnes 22 4 9 9 20:28 21
9 Shabaab Al Jabal 22 3 9 10 23:33 18
10 Al Taawun 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
11 Al Anwar 22 2 7 13 22:49 13
12 Ngom Ajdabiya 22 2 5 15 12:36 11
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 22 15 6 1 26:6 51
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 22 14 7 1 29:7 49
3 Olympic Azzaweya 22 9 6 7 22:19 33
4 Al Ittihad Misurata 22 9 5 8 26:25 32
5 Abu Salim 22 9 3 10 23:26 30
6 Asswehly 22 7 9 6 15:15 28
7 Al Mahalla Tripoli 22 5 11 6 21:23 26
8 Al Madina 22 6 7 9 21:17 25
9 Al Khmes 22 5 8 9 21:28 23
10 Al Shat 22 6 4 12 17:25 22
11 Rafeeq 22 5 6 11 21:34 21
12 Al Wehda 22 4 4 14 14:31 16
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)