Sport Picks
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Rafeeq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Libya
Premier League 2020/2021 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Al Ahly Tripoli and Rafeeq finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahly Tripoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Ahly Tripoli come out ahead of Rafeeq on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahly Tripoli taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahly Tripoli have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Rafeeq Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahly Tripoli | Rafeeq |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 2 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.42 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2021 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Rafeeq
2:0
May 21, 2021 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:1
Jan 14, 2019 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:0
Mar 1, 2018 Premier League
Rafeeq vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:2
Oct 13, 2017 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Rafeeq
7:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
Rafeeq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahly Tripoli Rafeeq
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahly Tripoli found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Rafeeq has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Al Ahly Tripoli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahly Tripoli VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahly Tripoli
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0 KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1 Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0 KMKM
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1 Olympic Azzaweya
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0 Al Ittihad Misurata
23 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 2 Asswehly
Page 1 of 4
Rafeeq
(Away) 26 Jul
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0 Rafeeq
22 Jul
Al Wehda
1 : 2 Rafeeq
19 Jul
Rafeeq
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Jul
Rafeeq
2 : 1 Al Madina
11 Jul
Asswehly
2 : 1 Rafeeq
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 0 Rafeeq
22 Jul
Al Wehda
1 : 2 Rafeeq
11 Jul
Asswehly
2 : 1 Rafeeq
02 Jul
Abu Salim
3 : 2 Rafeeq
25 Jun
Al Ittihad
3 : 0 Rafeeq
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 38:13 | 53 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 40:14 | 52 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 36:13 | 52 |
| 4 | Al Nasr | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 31:13 | 49 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 35 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20:26 | 23 |
| 7 | Al Tahaddi | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 14:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Darnes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 20:28 | 21 |
| 9 | Shabaab Al Jabal | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 23:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Al Taawun | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 11 | Al Anwar | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22:49 | 13 |
| 12 | Ngom Ajdabiya | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 12:36 | 11 |
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 26:6 | 51 |
| 2 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29:7 | 49 |
| 3 | Olympic Azzaweya | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22:19 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:25 | 32 |
| 5 | Abu Salim | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 23:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Asswehly | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 15:15 | 28 |
| 7 | Al Mahalla Tripoli | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 8 | Al Madina | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Al Khmes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21:28 | 23 |
| 10 | Al Shat | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Rafeeq | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21:34 | 21 |
| 12 | Al Wehda | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14:31 | 16 |
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
