Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sayed A.
Assist: Benjdida S.
42'
El Saaiy O.
51'
Gomaa M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ahly and Abu Qir Semad finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Al Ahly
20%
Draws
6%
Abu Qir Semad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahly come out ahead of Abu Qir Semad on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahly's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 68%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Abu Qir Semad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.59 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.79 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad
2:0
Nov 21, 2020 Egypt Cup
Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahly Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayed A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Shahat H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Abu Qir Semad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly 95 / 100
Abu Qir Semad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Abu Qir Semad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Ahly stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Abu Qir Semad conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly VS Abu Qir Semad
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly

(Home)
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5
Al Ahly
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2
Al Ahly
Page 1 of 6

Abu Qir Semad

(Away)
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
27 Aug
Pyramids
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)