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Al Ahly vs Al Qanah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahly host Al Qanah in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Al Ahly have averaged 1.69 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Al Qanah's 1.59 scored and 0.69 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al Qanah. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Al Ahly
35%
Draws
12%
Al Qanah
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qanah have won more games recently than Al Ahly.
  • Model gives Al Ahly a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 20%
Al Qanah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Al Qanah
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.69 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly 85 / 100
Al Qanah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Al Qanah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Ahly went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Qanah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Al Qanah registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly VS Al Qanah
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly

(Home)
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5
Al Ahly
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2
Al Ahly
Page 1 of 6

Al Qanah

(Away)
07 Oct
Pyramids
3 : 2
Al Qanah
17 Sept
ZED FC
2 : 1
Al Qanah
07 Sept
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gaish
01 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 0
Al Qanah
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)