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Al Ahly vs Al Sekka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Egypt Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Al Sekka have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Al Ahly have conceded 0.94 and scored 2. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.25, favoring Al Ahly. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Ahly
30%
Draws
32%
Al Sekka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahly come out ahead of Al Sekka on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahly's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Al Ahly have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 19%
Al Sekka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Al Sekka
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly 36 / 100
Al Sekka 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Al Sekka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Al Ahly remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Sekka let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly VS Al Sekka
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly

(Home)
29 Oct
Modern Sport
0 : 1
Al Ahly
25 Oct
Al Ahly
4 : 0
Kitara
21 Oct
Al Ahly
3 : 3
Al Qanah
17 Oct
Kitara
1 : 2
Al Ahly
11 Oct
Zamalek
0 : 2
Al Ahly
Page 1 of 7

Al Sekka

(Away)
30 Oct
Al Sekka
2 : 0
Tanta
22 Oct
Dayrout
1 : 5
Al Sekka
16 Oct
Al Sekka
0 : 0
El Ismaily
08 Oct
Haras El Hodood
1 : 1
Al Sekka
01 Oct
Al Sekka
5 : 4
El Entag El Harby
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pyramids -
El Daklyeh -
National Bank Egypt -
Bur Fouad -
Al Masry -
Misr Lel Makkasa -
El Gaish -
Asyut Petroleum -
ZED FC -
Samanod -
Smouha -
El Minya -
Wadi Degla -
Kahrabaa Ismailia -
Ceramica Cleopatra -
Abu Qir Semad -
Zamalek -
Misr Insurance -
Enppi -
Proxy -
El Gouna -
Ittihad El-Shorta -
Ghazl El Mahallah -
Al Ittihad Alexandria -
Al Ahly -
Al Sekka -
Petrojet -
Delphi SC -
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) -
WE Sports Club -
Modern Sport -
Al Qanah -
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Final
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Final
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