Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly vs Young Africans

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2025/2026 Al Salam Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Trezeguet
Assist: Hany M.
52'
Damaro M.
57'
Sub
Mwenda I. P. In: Zouzoua P.
Out: Mwenda I. P.

AI Match Summary

The CAF Champions League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahly and Young Africans finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Ahly
20%
Draws
40%
Young Africans
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahly haven't matched Young Africans's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Young Africans a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 12%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Young Africans
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 24
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.12
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 CAF Champions League
Young Africans vs Al Ahly
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 CAF Champions League
Al Ahly vs Young Africans
2:0
Mar 1, 2024 CAF Champions League
Al Ahly vs Young Africans
1:0
Dec 2, 2023 CAF Champions League
Young Africans vs Al Ahly
1:1
Apr 20, 2016 CAF Champions League
Al Ahly vs Young Africans
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahly Compare

Top Goalscorer Trezeguet
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Young Africans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly 27 / 100
Young Africans 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Young Africans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Ahly went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Young Africans has conceded goals in 33% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly VS Young Africans
1.67 Goals Scored 2.63
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2
Al Ahly
23 Aug
Al Ahly
3 : 2
Enppi
Page 1 of 6

Young Africans

(Away)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Berkane 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Power Dynamos 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Rivers United 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 6 2 4 0 8:3 10
2 FAR Rabat 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
3 Young Africans 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
4 Kabylie 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Mamelodi Sundowns 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 MC Alger 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 St Eloi Lupopo 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stade Malien 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
2 Esperance Tunis 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Petro Atletico 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
4 Simba 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)