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Al Ain vs Ittihad Kalba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium, Al Ain
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Rahimi E. H.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Ghoddos S.
Assist: Tetteh B.
46'
Sub
Abbas H. In: Traore A. K.
Out: Abbas H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Ain
15%
Draws
39%
Ittihad Kalba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ittihad Kalba haven't matched Al Ain's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Al Ain taking it.
  • Al Ain have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ain, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Ain here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 20%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ain Ittihad Kalba
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 25 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.19 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 League Cup
Al Ain vs Ittihad Kalba
2:2
Sep 4, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
0:2
Jan 27, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 UAE League
Al Ain vs Ittihad Kalba
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 League Cup
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ain Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaku
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghoddos S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tetteh B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ain 85 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ain Ittihad Kalba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ain's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ittihad Kalba conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Ain stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ain VS Ittihad Kalba
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ain

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 3
Ajman
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
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Ittihad Kalba

(Away)
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Bani Yas 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Al Jazira 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Ajman 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Al Nasr 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Al Sharjah 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
7 United FC 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
8 Ittihad Kalba 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
9 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
10 Hatta 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
11 Al Ain 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
12 Al Dhafra 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
13 Al Wahda 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
14 Khorfakkan 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
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