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Al Ain vs Toulouse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Bakhouche Piernas G.

AI Match Summary

Toulouse in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Ain
35%
Draws
32%
Toulouse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ain lately — more wins on the board than Toulouse.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Al Ain taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ain Toulouse
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.24 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Ain vs Toulouse
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ain Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Toulouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhouche Piernas G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ain 49 / 100
Toulouse 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ain Toulouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ain found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Toulouse conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Al Ain has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Ain VS Toulouse
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ain

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
02 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 3
Ajman
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
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Toulouse

(Away)
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
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