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Al Ain vs Toulouse

World World

Club Friendly Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Bakhouche Piernas G.

AI Match Summary

Toulouse in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Ain
30%
Draws
33%
Toulouse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ain lately — more wins on the board than Toulouse.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Al Ain taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ain Toulouse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Ain vs Toulouse
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ain Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Toulouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhouche Piernas G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ain 67 / 100
Toulouse 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ain Toulouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ain found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Toulouse conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Al Ain has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Ain VS Toulouse
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ain

(Home)
16 Aug
Bani Yas
2 : 4
Al Ain
08 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 2
Al Ain
05 Aug
Al Ain
0 : 1
Toulouse
02 Aug
Al Ain
1 : 1
Al Diriyah
28 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Al Ain
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Toulouse

(Away)
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2
Hamburger
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0
Toulouse
05 Aug
Al Ain
0 : 1
Toulouse
31 Jul
Toulouse
2 : 1
Real Sociedad
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
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