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Al Akhdar vs Wefaq Ajdabiya

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Al Bayda Stadium, Bayda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Akhdar and Wefaq Ajdabiya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Akhdar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Al Akhdar
20%
Draws
36%
Wefaq Ajdabiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Akhdar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Akhdar come out ahead of Wefaq Ajdabiya on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Al Akhdar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Akhdar have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al Akhdar Clean Sheet 20%
Wefaq Ajdabiya Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhdar Wefaq Ajdabiya
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.34 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Wefaq Ajdabiya
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
Wefaq Ajdabiya vs Al Akhdar
1:1
Feb 14, 2025 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Wefaq Ajdabiya
2:0
Dec 24, 2024 Premier League
Wefaq Ajdabiya vs Al Akhdar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhdar 58 / 100
Wefaq Ajdabiya 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhdar Wefaq Ajdabiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Akhdar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhdar found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Al Akhdar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Wefaq Ajdabiya conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhdar VS Wefaq Ajdabiya
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Akhdar

(Home)
23 May
Al Akhdar
2 : 0
Al Hilal Benghazi
19 May
Al Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Military Union
1 : 1
Al Akhdar
11 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Akhdar
07 May
Al Akhdar
1 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

Wefaq Ajdabiya

(Away)
22 Apr
Wefaq Ajdabiya
1 : 0
Khaleej Sirte
16 Apr
Al Tahaddi
1 : 0
Wefaq Ajdabiya
11 Apr
Wefaq Ajdabiya
2 : 1
Al Nasr
12 Mar
Al Murooj SC
0 : 1
Wefaq Ajdabiya
07 Mar
Wefaq Ajdabiya
1 : 2
Al Afreeki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)