Sport Picks
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Abha
Saudi Arabia
Division 1 2025/2026 Department of Education Stadium, Unaizah 
Match Events
9'
9'
Al Ghamdi F.
Assist: Al Mutairi M.
30'
30'
Ibrahim Y. Y.
Assist: Al Mutairi M.
31'
31'
Touray B.
AI Match Summary
Abha in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Abha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Abha have won more games recently than Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia).
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Abha have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Clean Sheet 11%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) | Abha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 22 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.77 | 1.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2026 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Abha
1:3
Oct 28, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
3:0
Jan 28, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1:0
Aug 27, 2024 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Abha
1:2
Dec 7, 2019 King Cup
Abha vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89
Abha Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Ghamdi F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ibrahim Y. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 29 / 100
Abha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Abha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Abha has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Abha has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) VS Abha
1.8 Goals Scored 1
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
(Home) 13 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2 : 3 Al Jandal
09 May
Al Jabalain
4 : 0 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3 Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Wehda
2 : 2 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
21 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 1 Al Bukiryah
Page 1 of 6
13 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2 : 3 Al Jandal
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3 Al Jubail
21 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 1 Al Bukiryah
07 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 4 Al Zulfi
03 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 3 Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 3
Abha
(Away) 13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1 Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2 Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1 Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2 Abha
22 Aug
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0 Abha
16 Aug
Al Orubah
1 : 0 Abha
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 64:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Al-Faisaly | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 76:32 | 73 |
| 3 | Al Diriyah | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 79:39 | 72 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72:33 | 71 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 56:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 64:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 46:45 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 48:52 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Bukiryah | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:48 | 43 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 53:54 | 41 |
| 13 | Jeddah Club | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Adalah | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:70 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Al Batin | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 39:69 | 22 |
| 17 | Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 24:67 | 21 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
