Sport Picks
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Diriyah
Saudi Arabia
Division 1 2025/2026 Department of Education Stadium, Unaizah 
Match Events
5'
5'
Al Qahtani H.
11'
11'
Al Juhani F.
39'
39'
Marega M.
Assist: Hameran M.
AI Match Summary
Al Diriyah in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Diriyah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Diriyah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Diriyah lately — more wins on the board than Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia).
- Win probability leans Al Diriyah's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Clean Sheet 10%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 4 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Diriyah
1:3
Nov 28, 2025 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Mayad A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Al Diriyah Compare
Top Goalscorer Marega M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Al Farhan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 10 / 100
Al Diriyah 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Al Diriyah
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Diriyah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Al Diriyah let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.
Recent resilience: Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) VS Al Diriyah
2 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
(Home) 13 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2 : 3 Al Jandal
09 May
Al Jabalain
4 : 0 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3 Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Wehda
2 : 2 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
21 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 1 Al Bukiryah
Page 1 of 6
13 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2 : 3 Al Jandal
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3 Al Jubail
21 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 1 Al Bukiryah
07 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 4 Al Zulfi
03 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 3 Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 3
Al Diriyah
(Away) 13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3 Al Diriyah
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1 Al Kholood
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3 Al Diriyah
21 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
0 : 1 Al Diriyah
02 Aug
Al Ain
1 : 1 Al Diriyah
18 Jul
Trelleborg
1 : 4 Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 64:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Al-Faisaly | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 76:32 | 73 |
| 3 | Al Diriyah | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 79:39 | 72 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72:33 | 71 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 56:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 64:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 46:45 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 48:52 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Bukiryah | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:48 | 43 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 53:54 | 41 |
| 13 | Jeddah Club | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Adalah | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:70 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Al Batin | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 39:69 | 22 |
| 17 | Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 24:67 | 21 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
