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Al Bashaeer vs Al Nasr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Professional League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Abdullah Zahir
81' Event
Ackah P.

AI Match Summary

The Professional League 2022/2023 game between Al Bashaeer and Al Nasr finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al Bashaeer
20%
Draws
58%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Al Bashaeer on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Nasr a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Al Nasr have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Bashaeer Clean Sheet 19%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Bashaeer Al Nasr
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 17
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.67 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2023 Professional League
Al Bashaeer vs Al Nasr
0:2
Nov 4, 2022 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al Bashaeer
2:2
Feb 21, 2018 Sultan Cup
Al Nasr vs Al Bashaeer
1:0
Feb 16, 2018 Sultan Cup
Al Bashaeer vs Al Nasr
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Bashaeer Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullah Zahir
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ackah P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Bashaeer 10 / 100
Al Nasr 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Bashaeer Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Al Bashaeer found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Nasr has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Al Bashaeer remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Nasr
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Bashaeer

(Home)
23 May
Al Msnaa
1 : 0
Al Bashaeer
19 May
Al Bashaeer
0 : 2
Al Rustaq
15 May
Sur Club
1 : 0
Al Bashaeer
01 May
Al Bashaeer
0 : 3
Al Nahda
17 Apr
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Bashaeer
Page 1 of 6

Al Nasr

(Away)
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al Samail
25 Sept
Fanja SC
3 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nahda 26 16 8 2 34:8 56
2 Al Suwaiq 26 16 4 6 36:21 52
3 Al Seeb 26 14 9 3 36:14 51
4 Dhofar 26 13 6 7 34:19 45
5 Al Rustaq 26 12 7 7 26:23 43
6 Bahla 26 11 7 8 34:30 40
7 Oman Club 26 9 10 7 25:23 37
8 Sohar 26 11 4 11 24:24 37
9 Al Msnaa 26 7 12 7 22:24 33
10 Al Nasr 26 7 9 10 21:26 30
11 Sur Club 26 8 4 14 22:29 28
12 Al Orouba 26 3 8 15 22:45 17
13 Al Ittihad 26 4 5 17 14:37 17
14 Al Bashaeer 26 3 3 20 17:44 12
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification - Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)