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Al Bashaeer vs Sur Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Sultan Cup 2022/2023
Sun, Oct 16, 2022
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

105'
Al Najashi M.
105'
Al Mukhaini A. M.
107' Event
Al Mukhaini A. M.

AI Match Summary

Al Bashaeer in this Sultan Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Bashaeer
15%
Draws
57%
Sur Club
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sur Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Bashaeer haven't matched Sur Club's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sur Club's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Sur Club arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sur Club, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sur Club have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Bashaeer Clean Sheet 20%
Sur Club Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Bashaeer Sur Club
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2023 Professional League
Sur Club vs Al Bashaeer
1:0
Nov 30, 2022 Professional League
Al Bashaeer vs Sur Club
1:2
Oct 16, 2022 Sultan Cup
Al Bashaeer vs Sur Club
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Bashaeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop l.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Jabri B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sur Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mukhaini A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Bashaeer 24 / 100
Sur Club 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Bashaeer Sur Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sur Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sur Club conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Difficult form: Sur Club registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Al Bashaeer found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Sur Club
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Bashaeer

(Home)
23 May
Al Msnaa
1 : 0
Al Bashaeer
19 May
Al Bashaeer
0 : 2
Al Rustaq
15 May
Sur Club
1 : 0
Al Bashaeer
01 May
Al Bashaeer
0 : 3
Al Nahda
17 Apr
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Bashaeer
Page 1 of 6

Sur Club

(Away)
24 Sept
Oman Club
1 : 2
Sur Club
20 Sept
Sur Club
3 : 1
Al Samail
11 Sept
Sur Club
1 : 3
Bahla
06 Sept
Al Seeb
2 : 0
Sur Club
31 Aug
Sur Club
2 : 3
Al Shabab
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Shabab 4
Nizwa 2
Al Khaboora 0
Sohar 1
Al Seeb -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nasr -
Saham 0
Al Wahda 2
Al Bashaeer 2
Sur Club 1
Al Suwaiq 2
Majees 0
TBD -
Dhofar -
Al Bdea 0
Bahla 1
TBD -
Al Rustaq -
Oman Club 2
Al Ahli/Sedab 0
Muscat 0
Al Ittihad 1
Salalah SC 2
Al Mudhaibi 0
Al Orouba 2
Fanja SC 1
Ibri 0
Al Nahda 2
Al Msnaa 1
Al Ettifaq 0
1/8-finals
Al Shabab 2
Sohar 1
Al Seeb 2
Al Nasr 0
Al Wahda 0
Al Bashaeer 1
Al Suwaiq 3
Dhofar 2
Bahla 0
Al Rustaq 1
Oman Club 2
Al Ittihad 0
Salalah SC 0
Al Orouba 1
Al Nahda 3
Al Msnaa 1
Quarter-finals
Al Shabab 0
Al Seeb 1
Al Bashaeer 0
Al Suwaiq 4
Al Rustaq 2
Oman Club 1
Al Orouba 4
Al Nahda 5
Semi-finals
Al Seeb 3
Al Suwaiq 0
Al Rustaq 0
Al Nahda 1
Final
Al Seeb 0
Al Nahda 1