Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Batin vs Al Ahli SC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup 2025/2026 Al-Batin Club Stadium, Hafar Al-Batin
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Al Jalfan T.
Own Goal
50' Event
Al Buraikan F.
Assist: Dams M.
59'
Sub
El Manssouri O. In: Al Sahli M.
Out: El Manssouri O.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC in this King Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Batin
40%
Draws
29%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC have won more games recently than Al Batin.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Ahli SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahli SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Batin Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Batin Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 1.67 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 King Cup
Al Batin vs Al Ahli SC
0:3
May 5, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Batin vs Al Ahli SC
2:2
Nov 3, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Batin
1:0
Jan 31, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Batin
2:2
Oct 18, 2020 Saudi Professional League
Al Batin vs Al Ahli SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Batin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Buraikan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toney I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Batin 30 / 100
Al Ahli SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Batin Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Batin found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Ahli SC let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Al Batin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Batin VS Al Ahli SC
1.67 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Batin

(Home)
14 May
Al-Faisaly
4 : 0
Al Batin
09 May
Al Batin
4 : 1
Al Taee
03 May
Al Batin
0 : 0
Al Bukiryah
26 Apr
Abha
3 : 1
Al Batin
21 Apr
Al Batin
2 : 3
Al Anwar
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
20 May
Al Khaleej
1 : 4
Al Ahli SC
16 May
Al Ahli SC
3 : 0
Al Kholood
11 May
Al Taawon
1 : 2
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Batin3
Al Ettifaq FC2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)0
Al Ahli SC5
Al Orubah1
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hazem Rass2
Neom SC1
Al Raed0
Al Okhdood1
Al Adalah0
Al Hilal1
Al Jabalain1
Al Fateh2
Al Jubail0
Al Riyadh1
Al Bukiryah1
Al Kholood2
Al Najma2
Damac1
Al Taee0
Al Khaleej5
Al-Faisaly0
Al Taawon4
Jeddah Club0
Al Nassr4
Al Wehda0
Al Ittihad1
Abha2
Al Shabab3
Al Zulfi1
Al Fayha0
1/8-finals
Al Batin0
Al Ahli SC3
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hazem Rass1
Al Okhdood0
Al Hilal1
Al Fateh2
Al Riyadh0
Al Kholood1
Al Najma0
Al Khaleej2
Al Taawon1
Al Nassr1
Al Ittihad2
Al Shabab1
Al Zulfi0
Quarter-finals
Al Ahli SC4
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hilal4
Al Fateh1
Al Kholood4
Al Khaleej3
Al Ittihad4
Al Shabab1
Semi-finals
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
Al Kholood3
Al Ittihad2
Final
Al Hilal2
Al Kholood1