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Stadium Background

Al Batin vs Al Ahli SC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup 2025/2026 Al-Batin Club Stadium, Hafar Al-Batin
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Al Jalfan T.
Own Goal
50' Event
Al Buraikan F.
Assist: Dams M.
59'
Sub
El Manssouri O. In: Al Sahli M.
Out: El Manssouri O.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC in this King Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Batin
20%
Draws
51%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC have won more games recently than Al Batin.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Ahli SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahli SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Al Batin Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Batin Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 King Cup
Al Batin vs Al Ahli SC
0:3
May 5, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Batin vs Al Ahli SC
2:2
Nov 3, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Batin
1:0
Jan 31, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Batin
2:2
Oct 18, 2020 Saudi Professional League
Al Batin vs Al Ahli SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Batin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Buraikan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toney I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Batin 30 / 100
Al Ahli SC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Batin Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Batin found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Al Ahli SC conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Batin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Batin VS Al Ahli SC
0 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Batin

(Home)
14 May
Al-Faisaly
4 : 0
Al Batin
09 May
Al Batin
4 : 1
Al Taee
03 May
Al Batin
0 : 0
Al Bukiryah
26 Apr
Abha
3 : 1
Al Batin
21 Apr
Al Batin
2 : 3
Al Anwar
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Batin 3
Al Ettifaq FC 2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 0
Al Ahli SC 5
Al Orubah 1
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 2
Neom SC 1
Al Raed 0
Al Okhdood 1
Al Adalah 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Jabalain 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Jubail 0
Al Riyadh 1
Al Bukiryah 1
Al Kholood 2
Al Najma 2
Damac 1
Al Taee 0
Al Khaleej 5
Al-Faisaly 0
Al Taawon 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Nassr 4
Al Wehda 0
Al Ittihad 1
Abha 2
Al Shabab 3
Al Zulfi 1
Al Fayha 0
1/8-finals
Al Batin 0
Al Ahli SC 3
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 1
Al Okhdood 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Riyadh 0
Al Kholood 1
Al Najma 0
Al Khaleej 2
Al Taawon 1
Al Nassr 1
Al Ittihad 2
Al Shabab 1
Al Zulfi 0
Quarter-finals
Al Ahli SC 4
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hilal 4
Al Fateh 1
Al Kholood 4
Al Khaleej 3
Al Ittihad 4
Al Shabab 1
Semi-finals
Al Ahli SC 1
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 3
Al Ittihad 2
Final
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 1