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Al Bidda vs Al-Waab

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Faisal B.
65'
Martinez J.
68' Event
Gueye O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Al-Waab advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Bidda
30%
Draws
37%
Al-Waab
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Waab come out ahead of Al Bidda on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Al-Waab arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Waab, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Waab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Bidda Al-Waab
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al-Waab
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Bidda vs Al-Waab
0:2
Oct 22, 2025 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Al Bidda
0:2
Feb 21, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al-Waab
0:1
Oct 25, 2024 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Al Bidda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Bidda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Waab Compare

Top Goalscorer Faisal B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Bidda 32 / 100
Al-Waab 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Bidda Al-Waab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Bidda found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Al-Waab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Al Bidda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Bidda VS Al-Waab
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Bidda

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
08 Sept
Shamal 2
0 : 3
Al Bidda
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al-Gharafa 2
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

Al-Waab

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al-Waab
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 2
Al-Waab
25 Aug
Al-Waab
1 : 0
Al Rayyan 2
30 Jul
Kazma SC
2 : 2
Al-Waab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al-Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al-Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al-Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al-Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al-Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al-Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)