Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Rodrigo Varanda
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Sido Sadqo A. R.
Penalty Missed
2'
2'
Harwanah H.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Al Ahli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Ahli, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Al Budaiya Clean Sheet 17%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Budaiya | Al Ahli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Al Ahli
2:2
Feb 5, 2026 King's Cup
Al Budaiya vs Al Ahli
0:1
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Budaiya
2:3
Apr 1, 2023 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Budaiya
2:1
Dec 27, 2022 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Al Ahli
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Budaiya 31 / 100
Al Ahli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Budaiya Al Ahli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Al Ahli has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Al Budaiya scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Al Budaiya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Budaiya VS Al Ahli
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Budaiya
(Home) 30 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1 Al Budaiya
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3 Al Najma
21 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 1 Manama Club
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2 Al Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0 Al Budaiya
Page 1 of 6
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3 Al Najma
21 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 1 Manama Club
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2 Al Ahli
03 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 1 Al Khalidiyah
03 Apr
Al Budaiya
0 : 2 Al Hidd
Page 1 of 4
Al Ahli
(Away) 12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2 Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1 Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1 Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2 Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Hidd
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1 Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1 Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2 Al Ahli
05 May
Sitra
0 : 2 Al Ahli
17 Apr
Bahrain SC
1 : 2 Al Ahli
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al Hala 2
Aali Club -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Najma -
Bahrain SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Hidd -
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 2
TBD -
Al Riffa -
Al Muharraq -
TBD -
Isa Town 3
Al Reef 2
Al Shabbab -
TBD -
TBD -
Malkia -
Al Budaiya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ahli -
Al Ittihad 1
Al Ittifaq 5
TBD -
Sitra -
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah 7
Al Hala 0
Aali Club 2
Al Najma 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Hidd 0
Manama Club 2
Al Riffa 3
Al Muharraq 6
Isa Town 0
Al Shabbab 2
Malkia 1
Al Budaiya 0
Al Ahli 1
Al Ittifaq 2
Sitra 0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah 2
Aali Club 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Riffa 4
Al Muharraq 3
Al Shabbab 0
Al Ahli 3
Al Ittifaq 2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al Riffa 4
Al Muharraq 2
Al Ahli 1
Final
Al Riffa 1
Al Muharraq 2
