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Al-Budaiya vs Al Riffa

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Yuri R.
90' Event
Al Khatal I.
90'

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Budaiya and Al Riffa finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riffa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Budaiya
6%
Draws
90%
Al Riffa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Riffa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Budaiya haven't matched Al Riffa's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al Riffa taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Riffa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 23%
Al Riffa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Budaiya Al Riffa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al Riffa
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Riffa vs Al-Budaiya
3:0
Jan 18, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al Riffa
2:2
May 8, 2023 Premier League
Al Riffa vs Al-Budaiya
7:0
Dec 1, 2022 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al Riffa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Budaiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al Riffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Khatal I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Budaiya 10 / 100
Al Riffa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Budaiya Al Riffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Budaiya scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Riffa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Al-Budaiya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Budaiya VS Al Riffa
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Budaiya

(Home)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Riffa

(Away)
15 May
Al Riffa
3 : 2
Bahrain SC
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2
Al Riffa
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
29 Apr
Al-Ahli
2 : 3
Al Riffa
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1
Al Riffa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)