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Al-Budaiya vs Al Riffa

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Yuri R.
90' Event
Al Khatal I.
90'

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Budaiya and Al Riffa finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riffa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al-Budaiya
20%
Draws
61%
Al Riffa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Riffa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Al-Budaiya haven't matched Al Riffa's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Al Riffa taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Riffa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 23%
Al Riffa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Budaiya Al Riffa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.07 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al Riffa
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Riffa vs Al-Budaiya
3:0
Jan 18, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al Riffa
2:2
May 8, 2023 Premier League
Al Riffa vs Al-Budaiya
7:0
Dec 1, 2022 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al Riffa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Budaiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Riffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Khatal I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Budaiya 10 / 100
Al Riffa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Budaiya Al Riffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Riffa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Budaiya scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Riffa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Al-Budaiya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Budaiya VS Al Riffa
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Budaiya

(Home)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
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Al Riffa

(Away)
10 Sept
Al Riffa
0 : 0
Al Khalidiyah
05 Sept
Manama Club
1 : 5
Al Riffa
29 Aug
Al Riffa
2 : 0
Al-Ittifaq
15 May
Al Riffa
3 : 2
Bahrain SC
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2
Al Riffa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)