Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Bukiryah vs Al Adalah

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Al Bukayriyah Club Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Bukiryah play Al Adalah in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Bukiryah averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Al Adalah averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Al Bukiryah won 2, Al Adalah won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Al Bukiryah and 1.06 for Al Adalah. This points to a Al Bukiryah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Bukiryah
18%
Draws
36%
Al Adalah
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Al Bukiryah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Bukiryah picked up more points recently compared to Al Adalah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Al Bukiryah Clean Sheet 22%
Al Adalah Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Bukiryah Al Adalah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Division 1
Al Bukiryah vs Al Adalah
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Division 1
Al Adalah vs Al Bukiryah
1:3
May 23, 2025 Division 1
Al Adalah vs Al Bukiryah
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 Division 1
Al Bukiryah vs Al Adalah
0:2
Aug 19, 2024 Division 1
Al Adalah vs Al Bukiryah
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Bukiryah 46 / 100
Al Adalah 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Bukiryah Al Adalah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Bukiryah or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Bukiryah attacking → ← attacking Al Adalah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Bukiryah scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Adalah let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Bukiryah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Adalah lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 29
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Abha34245564:3577
2Al-Faisaly342110376:3273
3Al Diriyah34226679:3972
4Al-Ula34218572:3371
5Al Orubah34205956:3865
6Al Jabalain34178959:3859
7Al Raed3414101064:4652
8Al Zulfi3411121146:4545
9Al Taee341281448:5244
10Al Wehda341271552:5843
11Al Bukiryah341271536:4843
12Al Anwar3410111353:5441
13Jeddah Club349121334:5139
14Al Adalah34891744:7033
15Al Jandal34881834:6032
16Al Batin34572239:6922
17Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)34562324:6721
18Al Jubail34352628:7314