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Al Dhafra vs Ajman

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Madinat Zayed
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Match Events

31'
Nasser M.
61'
Sub
Amesimeku L. In: Yaslam R.
Out: Amesimeku L.
61'
Sub
Marcelinho In: Soussi A.
Out: Marcelinho

AI Match Summary

Ajman in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Al Dhafra
15%
Draws
64%
Ajman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ajman have won more games recently than Al Dhafra.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 10%
Ajman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Dhafra Ajman
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Ajman
0:1
Jan 19, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Dhafra
1:1
Apr 24, 2023 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Dhafra
2:1
Dec 19, 2022 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Ajman
0:1
Nov 26, 2022 League Cup
Al Dhafra vs Ajman
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Dhafra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaro W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Dhafra 30 / 100
Ajman 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Dhafra Ajman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajman has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Dhafra scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Al Dhafra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Dhafra VS Ajman
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Dhafra

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
29 Aug
Khorfakkan
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
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Ajman

(Away)
02 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 3
Ajman
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)