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Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Madinat Zayed
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Match Events

12'
Djooh R.
61'
Sub
Marcelinho In: Bawazir K.
Out: Marcelinho
62'
Sub
Arielson In: Kaba S.
Out: Arielson

AI Match Summary

The UAE League game between Al Dhafra and Al Wahda finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Wahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Al Dhafra
15%
Draws
64%
Al Wahda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Al Wahda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Wahda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 16%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Dhafra Al Wahda
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.28
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda
0:1
May 16, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra
3:1
Sep 19, 2025 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra
5:2
Mar 17, 2023 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Dhafra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Wahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruspzky F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Dhafra 31 / 100
Al Wahda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Dhafra Al Wahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wahda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Al Wahda has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Al Dhafra found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Dhafra has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Dhafra VS Al Wahda
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Dhafra

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
29 Aug
Khorfakkan
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
Page 1 of 6

Al Wahda

(Away)
01 Oct
Bani Yas
3 : 1
Al Wahda
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)