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Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Madinat Zayed
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Noumonvi E. In: Idrees A.
Out: Noumonvi E.
29'
Ghorbani M.
34'
Ogbu F. I.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Al Dhafra and Al Wahda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Dhafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Al Dhafra
15%
Draws
68%
Al Wahda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Wahda come out ahead of Al Dhafra on wins alone.
  • Al Wahda are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Wahda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 14%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Dhafra Al Wahda
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 4 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda
0:1
May 16, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra
3:1
Sep 19, 2025 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra
5:2
Mar 17, 2023 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Wahda
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Dhafra Compare

Top Goalscorer El Berkaoui K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Al Wahda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Dhafra 11 / 100
Al Wahda 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Dhafra Al Wahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wahda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Al Wahda let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Al Dhafra scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Al Dhafra has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Dhafra VS Al Wahda
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Dhafra

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
29 Aug
Khorfakkan
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
22 Aug
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
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Al Wahda

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1
Bani Yas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)