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Al Dhafra vs Ittihad Kalba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Madinat Zayed
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:55 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Dhafra host Ittihad Kalba in the UAE League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ittihad Kalba have shipped 2.17 goals a game lately, while Al Dhafra have conceded 2 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor Ittihad Kalba slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.50) point toward Ittihad Kalba. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Dhafra
15%
Draws
59%
Ittihad Kalba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ittihad Kalba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ittihad Kalba at 1.1 per game, Al Dhafra at 0.83.
  • Win probability leans Al Dhafra's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 16%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Dhafra Ittihad Kalba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 2 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Dhafra
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Ittihad Kalba
3:0
Feb 10, 2023 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Ittihad Kalba
0:2
Sep 16, 2022 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Mar 11, 2022 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Dhafra
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Dhafra 57 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Dhafra Ittihad Kalba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Dhafra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Kalba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Dhafra scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Al Dhafra stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Dhafra VS Ittihad Kalba
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Dhafra

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
29 Aug
Khorfakkan
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
Page 1 of 6

Ittihad Kalba

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)