Sport Picks
Al Diriyah vs Abha
Saudi Arabia
Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh 
Match Events
22'
22'
Sub
Al Mutairi M. In: Boumedmed K.
Out: Al Mutairi M.
25'
25'
Al Qahtani H.
Assist: Hameran M.
42'
42'
Al Mutairi B.
AI Match Summary
Al Diriyah in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Diriyah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Diriyah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Diriyah lately — more wins on the board than Abha.
- Win probability leans Al Diriyah's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 68%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Diriyah | Abha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Diriyah vs Abha
0:0
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Abha
2:0
Jan 5, 2026 Division 1
Abha vs Al Diriyah
2:1
Dec 26, 2014 Division 1
Abha vs Al Diriyah
2:2
Aug 26, 2014 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Abha
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Diriyah Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Qahtani H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marega M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Abha Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Diriyah 95 / 100
Abha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Diriyah Abha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Diriyah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Diriyah scored in 91% of their last 34 games.
Abha has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Al Diriyah has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Diriyah VS Abha
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Diriyah
(Home) 13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3 Al Diriyah
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1 Al Kholood
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1 Al Kholood
18 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 4 Al Nassr
13 Aug
Al Diriyah
0 : 1 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 4
Abha
(Away) 13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1 Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2 Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1 Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2 Abha
22 Aug
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0 Abha
16 Aug
Al Orubah
1 : 0 Abha
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 64:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Al-Faisaly | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 76:32 | 73 |
| 3 | Al Diriyah | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 79:39 | 72 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72:33 | 71 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 56:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 64:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 46:45 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 48:52 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Bukiryah | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:48 | 43 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 53:54 | 41 |
| 13 | Jeddah Club | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Adalah | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:70 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Al Batin | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 39:69 | 22 |
| 17 | Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 24:67 | 21 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
