Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Diriyah vs Al Ahli SC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Al Hawsawi Z.
17'
Gueye I.
25' Event
Spertsyan E.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Diriyah
30%
Draws
33%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Diriyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Diriyah lately — more wins on the board than Al Ahli SC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 15%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Diriyah Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Diriyah vs Al Ahli SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Diriyah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Spertsyan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Diriyah 30 / 100
Al Ahli SC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Diriyah Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Diriyah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Diriyah scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Al Ahli SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Al Diriyah has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Diriyah VS Al Ahli SC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Diriyah

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)