Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Diriyah vs Al Jabalain

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Al Nemer M.
Assist: Marega M.
67'
Sub
Al Nemer M. In: N'Koudou G.
Out: Al Nemer M.
67'
Sub
Al Farhan S. In: Al Malki A.
Out: Al Farhan S.

AI Match Summary

Al Diriyah in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Diriyah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Diriyah
35%
Draws
34%
Al Jabalain
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Diriyah lately — more wins on the board than Al Jabalain.
  • Win probability leans Al Diriyah's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jabalain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Diriyah Al Jabalain
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Jabalain
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Jabalain
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Diriyah
3:0
Mar 21, 2022 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Diriyah
3:2
Nov 10, 2021 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Jabalain
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Diriyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Nemer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N'Koudou G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Jabalain Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Diriyah 49 / 100
Al Jabalain 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Diriyah Al Jabalain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Diriyah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Diriyah scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Al Jabalain has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Al Diriyah remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Diriyah VS Al Jabalain
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Diriyah

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6

Al Jabalain

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Orubah
13 Sept
Hajer
0 : 1
Al Jabalain
07 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Wehda
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Al Jabalain
1 : 0
Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)