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Al Diriyah vs Al Jabalain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh
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Match Events

17' Event
Diandy C.
Assist: Laborde G.
45'
Al Bukhari A.
56'
Al Harbi A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Al Diriyah advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Diriyah
35%
Draws
34%
Al Jabalain
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Diriyah come out ahead of Al Jabalain on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Diriyah a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Al Diriyah have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Diriyah, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jabalain Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Diriyah Al Jabalain
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.14 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Jabalain
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Jabalain
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Diriyah
3:0
Mar 21, 2022 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Diriyah
3:2
Nov 10, 2021 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Jabalain
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Diriyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Diandy C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Dosari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Jabalain Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Diriyah 42 / 100
Al Jabalain 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Diriyah Al Jabalain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Diriyah's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Diriyah has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Jabalain let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Diriyah VS Al Jabalain
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Diriyah

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6

Al Jabalain

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Orubah
13 Sept
Hajer
0 : 1
Al Jabalain
07 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Wehda
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Al Jabalain
1 : 0
Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Al Diriyah 3
Al Jabalain 0
Al Ula 2
Al Orubah 1
Final
Al Diriyah 2
Al Ula 1