Sport Picks
Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh 
Match Events
1'
1'
Retegui M.
42'
42'
Fernandez N.
49'
49'
Gueye I.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League game between Al Diriyah and Al Qadsiah finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Qadsiah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Qadsiah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Qadsiah come out ahead of Al Diriyah on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Al Qadsiah taking it.
- Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Qadsiah here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Diriyah | Al Qadsiah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah
0:2
Feb 9, 2022 Division 1
Al Qadsiah vs Al Diriyah
0:0
Sep 28, 2021 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah
0:2
Mar 5, 2015 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah
0:6
Oct 30, 2014 Division 1
Al Qadsiah vs Al Diriyah
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Diriyah Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Al Qadsiah Compare
Top Goalscorer Quinones J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Diriyah 14 / 100
Al Qadsiah 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Diriyah Al Qadsiah
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Diriyah scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Al Qadsiah let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Al Diriyah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Diriyah VS Al Qadsiah
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Diriyah
(Home) 09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0 Al Diriyah
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3 Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1 Al Kholood
18 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 4 Al Nassr
13 Aug
Al Diriyah
0 : 1 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 4
Al Qadsiah
(Away) 09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5 Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1 Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5 Al Qadsiah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
17 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 5 Al Qadsiah
13 Aug
Al Shabab
1 : 3 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Ettifaq FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
