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Al Duhail vs Al Sadd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

4'
Sub
Castelletto J. In: Mohammed I.
Out: Castelletto J.
27'
Saiss R.
45'
Boulbina A.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Al Duhail and Al Sadd finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Sadd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Duhail
20%
Draws
42%
Al Sadd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Sadd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Al Duhail taking it.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Sadd have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Al Duhail Clean Sheet 13%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Duhail Al Sadd
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 21
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.52 2.81
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Duhail vs Al Sadd
1:4
Feb 26, 2026 QSL
Al Duhail vs Al Sadd
1:3
Sep 25, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
0:0
May 10, 2025 Qatar Cup
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Duhail Compare

Top Goalscorer Edmilson Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Mujica R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Duhail 57 / 100
Al Sadd 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Duhail Al Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Duhail Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Duhail scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Al Sadd let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Duhail remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Duhail VS Al Sadd
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Duhail

(Home)
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al Duhail
Page 1 of 7

Al Sadd

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al Sadd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)