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Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Fateh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Al Ghannam K.
Assist: Costa J.
23' Event
Pacheco F.
Own Goal
34'
Wesley Delgado

AI Match Summary

Al Ettifaq FC host Al Fateh in the Saudi Professional League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Ettifaq FC have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Al Fateh's 0.88 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Ettifaq FC have won 2 to Al Fateh's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2026, ending 4:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.00, favoring Al Ettifaq FC. Al Ettifaq FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Ettifaq FC
17%
Draws
13%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Ettifaq FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ettifaq FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Fateh.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Al Ettifaq FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Saudi Professional League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ettifaq FC Al Fateh
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Fateh
4:3
Oct 24, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq FC
2:1
Feb 14, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Fateh
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:2
Apr 3, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ettifaq FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghannam K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wijnaldum G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Fateh Compare

Top Goalscorer Batna M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bendebka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ettifaq FC 67 / 100
Al Fateh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ettifaq FC Al Fateh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ettifaq FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Fateh let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Al Ettifaq FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Fateh lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ettifaq FC VS Al Fateh
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616