Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Riyadh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium, Dammam
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Abascal R.
11'
Sub
Antunes L. In: Al Sobhi F.
Out: Antunes L.
22' Event
Dembele M.
Assist: Medran A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ettifaq FC in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ettifaq FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Al Ettifaq FC
35%
Draws
40%
Al Riyadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Riyadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ettifaq FC lately — more wins on the board than Al Riyadh.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Ettifaq FC taking it.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 16%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ettifaq FC Al Riyadh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Riyadh
4:2
Apr 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Riyadh
2:3
Dec 25, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq FC
0:2
Apr 17, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Riyadh
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ettifaq FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Al Riyadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Okou T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mensah B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ettifaq FC 36 / 100
Al Riyadh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ettifaq FC Al Riyadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ettifaq FC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Riyadh conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Al Ettifaq FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ettifaq FC VS Al Riyadh
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ettifaq FC

(Home)
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al-Faisaly
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
25 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
2 : 3
Al Nassr
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Al Riyadh

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)