Sport Picks
Al-Faisaly vs Al Diriyah
Saudi Arabia
Division 1 2025/2026 Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah 
Match Events
5'
5'
Silva L.
Assist: Al Mogren A.
12'
12'
Marega M.
Assist: Laborde G.
39'
39'
Al Mogren A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Diriyah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Diriyah lately — more wins on the board than Al-Faisaly.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Al Diriyah taking it.
- Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 20%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Faisaly | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Al Diriyah
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al-Faisaly
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Faisaly Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Quioto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Diriyah Compare
Top Goalscorer Marega M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Laborde G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Faisaly 12 / 100
Al Diriyah 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Faisaly Al Diriyah
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Diriyah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Faisaly found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Al Diriyah has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Al-Faisaly remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al-Faisaly VS Al Diriyah
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Faisaly
(Home) 11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0 Al-Faisaly
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
21 Aug
Al-Faisaly
0 : 2 Neom SC
18 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Neom SC
Page 1 of 4
Al Diriyah
(Away) 13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3 Al Diriyah
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1 Al Kholood
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3 Al Diriyah
21 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
0 : 1 Al Diriyah
02 Aug
Al Ain
1 : 1 Al Diriyah
18 Jul
Trelleborg
1 : 4 Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 64:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Al-Faisaly | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 76:32 | 73 |
| 3 | Al Diriyah | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 79:39 | 72 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72:33 | 71 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 56:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 64:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 46:45 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 48:52 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Bukiryah | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:48 | 43 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 53:54 | 41 |
| 13 | Jeddah Club | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Adalah | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:70 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Al Batin | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 39:69 | 22 |
| 17 | Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 24:67 | 21 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
