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Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Bongonda T.
29' Event
Haraslin L.
Assist: Youssouf Z.
33'
Boateng K.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Faisaly and Al Fateh finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Faisaly
35%
Draws
32%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Faisaly come out ahead of Al Fateh on wins alone.
  • Al Faisaly are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Faisaly Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Faisaly Al Fateh
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.22 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh
1:1
Mar 17, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh
1:0
Feb 22, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Faisaly
4:1
Apr 10, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh
2:3
Dec 27, 2020 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Faisaly
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Faisaly Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassogog C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Fateh Compare

Top Goalscorer Haraslin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Faisaly 36 / 100
Al Fateh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Faisaly Al Fateh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Faisaly's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Al Fateh has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Faisaly stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Faisaly VS Al Fateh
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Faisaly

(Home)
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
05 Sept
Al Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al Faisaly
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

Al Fateh

(Away)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)