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Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
01:40 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Faisaly host Al Kholood in the Saudi Professional League. Al Kholood are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Al Faisaly at 1.79 goals for, 1.64 against; Al Kholood at 1.4 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Al Kholood slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al Kholood. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Al Faisaly
35%
Draws
47%
Al Kholood
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Kholood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Faisaly come out ahead of Al Kholood on wins alone.
  • Al Kholood are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Faisaly Clean Sheet 20%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Faisaly Al Kholood
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Division 1
Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood
0:3
Nov 8, 2023 Division 1
Al Kholood vs Al Faisaly
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Division 1
Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood
1:1
Oct 18, 2022 Division 1
Al Kholood vs Al Faisaly
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Faisaly 28 / 100
Al Kholood 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Faisaly Al Kholood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kholood Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kholood's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Al Faisaly found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Al Faisaly went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Faisaly VS Al Kholood
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Faisaly

(Home)
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al-Faisaly
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

Al Kholood

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1
Al Ahli SC
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)