Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Faisaly host Al Nassr in the Saudi Professional League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Nassr have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Al Faisaly have conceded 1.3 and scored 2.17. Head-to-head, Al Faisaly have won 2 to Al Nassr's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2022, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back Al Nassr to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Faisaly
30%
Draws
47%
Al Nassr
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nassr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Faisaly Clean Sheet 12%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Faisaly Al Nassr
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 17 25
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.17 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Faisaly
4:0
Aug 19, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr
2:1
May 5, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Faisaly
4:3
Apr 4, 2021 King Cup
Al Nassr vs Al Faisaly
0:1
Dec 31, 2020 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Faisaly 30 / 100
Al Nassr 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Faisaly Al Nassr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Faisaly found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Al Faisaly went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Nassr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Faisaly VS Al Nassr
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Faisaly

(Home)
15 Oct
Al Faisaly
3 : 2
Al Kholood
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
05 Sept
Al Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al Faisaly
Page 1 of 6

Al Nassr

(Away)
12 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
11 Al Khaleej 9 1 6 2 6:11 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 9 1 3 5 7:17 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)