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Al-Faisaly vs Neom SC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Faisaly host Neom SC in the Saudi Professional League. Al-Faisaly are expected to control this from the start. Neom SC have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Al-Faisaly have conceded 0.13 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Al-Faisaly slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2025, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al-Faisaly. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Faisaly
6%
Draws
4%
Neom SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Faisaly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Faisaly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al-Faisaly are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 20%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Faisaly Neom SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2025 Division 1
Neom SC vs Al-Faisaly
4:1
Jan 6, 2025 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Neom SC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Faisaly 85 / 100
Neom SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Faisaly Neom SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al-Faisaly stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al-Faisaly scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Neom SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Faisaly VS Neom SC
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Faisaly

(Home)
14 May
Al-Faisaly
4 : 0
Al Batin
09 May
Al Bukiryah
0 : 2
Al-Faisaly
02 May
Al-Faisaly
2 : 0
Al Jabalain
27 Apr
Al Raed
1 : 2
Al-Faisaly
22 Apr
Jeddah Club
0 : 4
Al-Faisaly
Page 1 of 6

Neom SC

(Away)
27 Jul
Neom SC
4 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
24 Jul
Orlando Pirates
0 : 1
Neom SC
22 Jul
Granada CF
2 : 0
Neom SC
17 Jul
Peterborough
0 : 0
Neom SC
21 May
Neom SC
1 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hilal00000:00
2Al Ettifaq FC00000:00
3Al Ittihad00000:00
4Al Shabab00000:00
5Abha00000:00
6Al Ahli SC00000:00
7Al Hazem Rass00000:00
8Al Nassr00000:00
9Al Fateh00000:00
10Al Qadsiah00000:00
11Al Taawon00000:00
12Al-Faisaly00000:00
13Al Khaleej00000:00
14Al Riyadh00000:00
15Neom SC00000:00
16Al Diriyah00000:00
17Al Fayha00000:00
18Al Kholood00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)