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Al Faisaly vs Neom SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Benrahma S. In: Camara H.
Out: Benrahma S.
11'
Seoane J.
27'
Sub
Al Mogren A. In: Fallatah A.
Out: Al Mogren A.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Faisaly and Neom SC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neom SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Al Faisaly
30%
Draws
52%
Neom SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Faisaly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Neom SC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Neom SC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Faisaly Clean Sheet 11%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Faisaly Neom SC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.22 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Neom SC
0:2
Aug 18, 2026 King Cup
Al Faisaly vs Neom SC
1:3
May 5, 2025 Division 1
Neom SC vs Al Faisaly
4:1
Jan 6, 2025 Division 1
Al Faisaly vs Neom SC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Faisaly Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacazette A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Faisaly 14 / 100
Neom SC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Faisaly Neom SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Faisaly's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Neom SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Faisaly stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Faisaly VS Neom SC
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Faisaly

(Home)
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
05 Sept
Al Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al Faisaly
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

Neom SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)