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Al Faisaly vs Neom SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Al Faisaly Logo

Al Faisaly

1 - 3
FT
Neom SC Logo

Neom SC

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Haddad S.
Assist: Fallatah A.
36' Event
Benrahma S.
Assist: Lacazette A.
39'
Zeze N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Faisaly
30%
Draws
47%
Neom SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Faisaly at 2.14 per game, Neom SC at 1.53.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Neom SC taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Neom SC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Neom SC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Faisaly Clean Sheet 11%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Faisaly Neom SC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.14 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Neom SC
0:2
Aug 18, 2026 King Cup
Al Faisaly vs Neom SC
1:3
May 5, 2025 Division 1
Neom SC vs Al Faisaly
4:1
Jan 6, 2025 Division 1
Al Faisaly vs Neom SC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Faisaly Compare

Top Goalscorer Haddad S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benrahma S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacazette A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Faisaly 22 / 100
Neom SC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Faisaly Neom SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Faisaly's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Neom SC let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Al Faisaly has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Faisaly VS Neom SC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Faisaly

(Home)
15 Oct
Al Faisaly
3 : 2
Al Kholood
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
05 Sept
Al Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al Faisaly
Page 1 of 6

Neom SC

(Away)
17 Oct
Neom SC
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
13 Oct
Neom SC
4 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
10 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Neom SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -