Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Faisaly vs Neom SC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup Al Majma'ah Sports City, Al Majma'ah
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Haddad S.
Assist: Fallatah A.
36' Event
Benrahma S.
Assist: Lacazette A.
39'
Zeze N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Al-Faisaly
15%
Draws
76%
Neom SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Neom SC haven't matched Al-Faisaly's recent run of results.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Neom SC taking it.
  • Al-Faisaly have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Neom SC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Neom SC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 20%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Faisaly Neom SC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al-Faisaly vs Neom SC
0:2
Aug 18, 2026 King Cup
Al-Faisaly vs Neom SC
1:3
May 5, 2025 Division 1
Neom SC vs Al-Faisaly
4:1
Jan 6, 2025 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Neom SC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Faisaly Compare

Top Goalscorer Haddad S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benrahma S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacazette A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Faisaly 20 / 100
Neom SC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Faisaly Neom SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Faisaly's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Neom SC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Al-Faisaly has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Faisaly VS Neom SC
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Faisaly

(Home)
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
21 Aug
Al-Faisaly
0 : 2
Neom SC
18 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Neom SC
14 Aug
Al Hilal
4 : 2
Al-Faisaly
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Neom SC

(Away)
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
21 Aug
Al-Faisaly
0 : 2
Neom SC
18 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Neom SC
14 Aug
Neom SC
2 : 1
Al Fayha
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al-Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al-Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al-Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -