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Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Fateh host Al Khaleej in the Saudi Professional League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Fateh at 0.97 goals for, 1.68 against; Al Khaleej at 1 for, 1.84 against. Head-to-head, Al Fateh have won 3 to Al Khaleej's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.06) point toward Al Fateh. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Fateh
35%
Draws
32%
Al Khaleej
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Al Khaleej carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Fateh are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Khaleej
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 4 5
Draws 11 11
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej
1:0
Dec 29, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Fateh
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Fateh
1:5
Nov 9, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej
1:2
Aug 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 49 / 100
Al Khaleej 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Khaleej

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Fateh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khaleej's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Al Fateh's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Al Fateh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Khaleej
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
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Al Khaleej

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5
Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)