Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Kanabah M.
36'
Baattia S.
61' Event
Baattia S.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Fateh and Al Khaleej finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Fateh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Fateh
35%
Draws
32%
Al Khaleej
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Al Khaleej carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Fateh's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Khaleej
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 4
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej
1:0
Dec 29, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Fateh
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Fateh
1:5
Nov 9, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej
1:2
Aug 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fateh Compare

Top Goalscorer Baattia S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Khaleej Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 58 / 100
Al Khaleej 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Khaleej

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Fateh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khaleej has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Al Fateh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Fateh found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Khaleej
0.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

Al Khaleej

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5
Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)