Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup 2025/2026 Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Al Fateh Logo

Al Fateh

2 - 0
FT
Al Riyadh Logo

Al Riyadh

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Masoud N. In: Wesley Delgado
Out: Masoud N.
47'
Okou T.
50'
Bendebka S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Al Fateh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Al Fateh
35%
Draws
47%
Al Riyadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Riyadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Fateh haven't matched Al Riyadh's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Fateh a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Al Riyadh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Fateh, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 17%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Riyadh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh
1:0
Jan 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
3:1
Oct 27, 2025 King Cup
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
2:0
Apr 23, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh
2:2
Nov 28, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fateh Compare

Top Goalscorer Batna M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Zubaidi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Riyadh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 36 / 100
Al Riyadh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Riyadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Riyadh has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Fateh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Fateh's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Riyadh
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

Al Riyadh

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Batin 3
Al Ettifaq FC 2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 0
Al Ahli SC 5
Al Orubah 1
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 2
Neom SC 1
Al Raed 0
Al Okhdood 1
Al Adalah 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Jabalain 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Jubail 0
Al Riyadh 1
Al Bukiryah 1
Al Kholood 2
Al Najma 2
Damac 1
Al Taee 0
Al Khaleej 5
Al Faisaly 0
Al Taawon 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Nassr 4
Al Wehda 0
Al Ittihad 1
Abha 2
Al Shabab 3
Al Zulfi 1
Al Fayha 0
1/8-finals
Al Batin 0
Al Ahli SC 3
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 1
Al Okhdood 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Riyadh 0
Al Kholood 1
Al Najma 0
Al Khaleej 2
Al Taawon 1
Al Nassr 1
Al Ittihad 2
Al Shabab 1
Al Zulfi 0
Quarter-finals
Al Ahli SC 4
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hilal 4
Al Fateh 1
Al Kholood 4
Al Khaleej 3
Al Ittihad 4
Al Shabab 1
Semi-finals
Al Ahli SC 1
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 3
Al Ittihad 2
Final
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 1